Social inequalities in mortality: changes in the relative importance of income, education and household size over a 27-year period.

BACKGROUND The aim of this paper was to measure socio-economic inequalities in mortality over a 27-year period, and estimate the simultaneous effects of education and income adjusted for changing proportions and potential confounders. METHODS Census data in 1970, 1980 and 1990 with information about income, educational level and household size were linked to mortality records at the individual level and analysed with absolute mortality rates, Poisson regression (univariate and multivariate) and Relative Index of Inequality (RII). RESULTS Mortality differences increased between income quartiles and educational groups as well as between singles and non-singles. RII between income quartiles increased from 1.6 to 3.6 for men and 1.7 to 2.7 for women while RII between the educational groups increased from 1.6 to 2.8 for men and 1.5 to 2.1 for women. However, RII derived from the adjusted multivariate regression analysis was 1.8 (men) and 1.9 (women) between the income groups in 1990 and 2.2 (men) and 1.7 (women) between the educational groups. In the 1990s current income was more important than previous income, and the rate ratios (RR) increased for groups dropping into the lowest income quartile between two censuses. CONCLUSION Low education and single status have become relatively more important risk factors for mortality over time. Confounder effects of education and household size could partly explain the seemingly large increase in inequalities between income groups. Results may also indicate a stronger reverse causation (poor health causing low income) over time.